How many appointments do you think have been sent out? I know that we have less than 20 here on the forum. But we also need to take in account that not everyone who has gotten a BFE is part of the forum.
last year, the number of appointments reported on this forum (127?) was only about 11% of the slots available. Keep in mind that the number of appointments exceeded the number of slots available, although I have no real sense of that that ratio was. If you assume that 20% more appointments were offered than were accepted, you have 1380 appointments, then only about 9% of the appointments were reported on this forum.
Take the average (10%) times the number reported on this forum so far (15) and you have appx. 150 appointments having been made so far, all together.
I know I will be accused of using some fuzzy math by some, and overall fuzzy thinking by everyone else, but I don't know any other way to estimate it, short of having an inside connection at the Academy, which, of course, is highly unlikely.
The recruited athletes have most likely all received appointments and the rest are the most highly qualified, exceptional applicants.
If my math is correct, that still leaves about 900 appointments yet to be offered. If I had to guess I would say expect about 3 waves of 300 offers being made in March and April (2 in March and 1 the first week of April). There will be some percentage of those offers that are not accepted, and those additional offers will go out in April and May. I really think this year that they will go right down to the wire (end of June) before they are finished.
Once again, it will be a long wait.........