I doubt it. I mean I'd understand that most of Type 1 scholarship recipients get appointments but Type 7 is more common and usually a fallback plan for most cadets.
I agree with Stevenson. A type 1 and 2 make up @20% of all scholarships. Type 7 is 80%.
I get your friends opinion Bradyl, but as someone that has been here for years, I would say that although it is a good sign, I wouldn't be packing my bags for BCT quite yet.
1. AFROTC and USAFA do not use the same system, and nor do they talk when they do their selections.
~ USAFA uses superscore. Some people their best sitting is close to their superscore, and for others they can get their superscore much higher than their best sitting.
~ AFROTC is national from the get go, and your intended major is a factor in their decision. 85% of all AFROTC scholarships go tech. Statistically, only 5% of the type 1 recipients go to non tech. Numbers wise that is @2-3 in total out of the 800+ awarded.
~ CFA is different than the PFA.
2. Nominations impact appointments.
~ IE if your MoC uses principal method, and you don't get the principal, than you and the other remaining candidates on the slate will go to the pool.
~~ 535 of the 1350+/- appointments are MoCs, plus 100 Presidential. By the time you add in ROTC and Sec, you are @50% of all appointments.
~~~ Now remember there are @3000 candidates with noms. That leaves a lot getting a TWE.
Just saying, I get you might have wanted to cheer them on, but to me that was giving way too much false hope to any poster or lurker....just ask flieger and Christcorp. They will tell you they have seen candidates get the "We're sorry at this time we are unable to ..." letter from AFROTC and get and appointment. They have seen candidates get a scholarship, but the same type of letter from USAFA.